Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
New papers in infrastructure resilience and vulnerability analysis, the code and data they release, and the open problems their authors admit. Rebuilt every day from OpenAlex and arXiv.
New papers
A Framework for Adaptive Climate Resilience: Integrating Disaster Risk Management with Predictive Modeling in Vulnerable Ecosystems
This study introduces an adaptive framework designed to bridge proactive risk mitigation with multi-hazard predictive models.
Enerji Altyapılarının İklim Kaynaklı Afetlere Karşı Dayanıklılığı
"This study examines the vulnerability and resilience of energy infrastructures to climate changeinduced disasters from the perspectives of energy security, supply continuity, disaster risk reduction and climate adaptation.
Raising Challenges for Critical Infrastructures
Critical underwater infrastructures (CUIs)—notably submarine communication cables, energy pipelines, and power interconnectors on the seabed—form the hidden backbone of the modern economy.
The Impact of Climate Change on Critical Infrastructure
According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), climate change refers to “changes in the state of the climate that can be identified by changes in the average and/or the variability of its properties and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer.” 1
Afetlerin Ekonomik Etkileri
"Disasters are among the most significant problem areas for contemporary societies due to the devastation they cause.
"6 Şubat 2023 Depremleri Sonrasında Malatya’da Kentsel Su Yönetimi: İşletme, Planlama ve Altyapı Dönüşümü"
"The February 6, 2023 earthquakes centered in Kahramanmaraş created extraordinary challenges for Malatya’s drinking water and wastewater infrastructure, not only in terms of physical damage but also with regard to system operation, planning, and resource management.
A GIS ‐Based Method to Prioritize Railway Links for Climate Resilience Planning Based on Operational Exposure
This study proposes a geographic information systems (GIS)‐based framework that uses operational exposure derived from freight and passenger flows as the primary metric for network prioritization.
A Probabilistic Framework for Reconstructing Weather-Related Power Outage Frequency
We develop a probabilistic framework that reconstructs weather-related outage frequency by summing calibrated daily class probabilities.
Ulaşım Altyapılarının İklim ve Afet Dirençliliği
"Ensuring the resilience of the transport sector in the face of disasters and a changing climate is critical to maintaining economic activity and social life safely and effectively.
Planejamento estratégico para a resiliência digital em hospitais diante dos impactos das mudanças climáticas
This study proposes a strategic model aimed at strengthening hospital digital and energy resilience through the integration of risk management, digital technologies, and renewable energy sources.
Interdependencies and Cascading Effects
The topic of interdependencies and cascading effects in critical infrastructure operations is of paramount importance for several reasons.
Risk Drivers and Mitigations for Decarbonisation of the Transport Sector in the UAE
The BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) have shown at par or greater growth compared to the G6 due to the comparative advantages in resources, skilled labour with demographic dividends, fiscal surpluses, expanding and diverse markets, and sophisticated monetary…
Key Challenges for Critical Infrastructures Operation
The modern era is marked by a multifaceted interaction of political factors and security issues that transcend conventional military considerations.
Aging Critical Infrastructure
Around the world, critical infrastructure systems built in the mid-20th century are reaching the end of their design lifecycle, leading to growing concerns about safety and reliability.
Assessing Transportation Insecurity after Disaster: Evidence from Transit Riders Following the 2025 Los Angeles Wildfires
Transportation disruptions can persist after a disaster, yet little is known about who experiences transport challenges during the immediate post-disaster period.
Community-level energy resilience under high-intensity hazard and military conflict: Frontline experience from the Ukraine war
Community-level energy resilience is an increasing policy priority as climate change and geopolitical instability intensify hazards to local energy systems.
Physical Infrastructure Risks
This chapter examines physical infrastructure risks associated with water systems, transportation networks, public utilities, bridges, and other built systems that sustain daily life.
Modeling Stakeholder Response Networks in Climate-Impacted Urban Infrastructure Systems: Evidence from 62 Cases in China
Abstract The escalating threat of climate change to urban infrastructure safety and stability underscores the urgent need for effective stakeholder collaboration, a topic that remains underexplored in current research.
Digital twin as a risk management tool in the fuel and energy sector: Mechanisms and applicability in SCO countries
To conduct a conceptual analysis of the mechanisms through which a digital twin transforms risk management processes in the fuel and energy industry, and to adapt the three-component logic of its application examined in scholarly sources to the conditions of multilateral energy interaction among…
The Generalised Kessler Syndrome and the Persian Gulf
The term Kessler syndrome was coined for a runaway orbital cascade creating a high-density debris field.
Released code and data
Composable, Knowledge-Driven Disservice Propagation for Complex Interdependent Services with a Flow-Allocation Module Validated Against Hydraulic Simulation
Supplementary materials, code and results are available at: https://github.com/cascade-platform-org/CASCADE
Rapid post-earthquake evacuation time prediction in urban bridge networks using a machine-learning-based surrogate model
A large-scale dataset is generated through simulation-based traffic analyses conducted on the real-world road network of Pohang, South Korea, which includes 48 bridges.
A Comprehensive Geospatial Dataset for Risk Assessments of Natural Hazards in the United States
ABSTRACT We present a homogeneous and spatially explicit dataset at county and tract levels that supports climate change risk assessment across the contiguous United States, designed to enable user‐defined construction of hazard, exposure, vulnerability, resilience, and composite risk indices through application‐specific weighting of variables and selection of hazards or future hazard projections.
Supply chain resilience prediction and industrial economic shock transmission path analysis integrating knowledge graphs and deep reinforcement learning
The ontology schema, the per-seed records behind every table and the code that regenerates every figure are released with the paper.
The Guarino Infrastructure Dependency Metric, Paper III: The Water Edge at the Tap and the Price of an Hour of Autonomy
The manuscript, abstract, figures, tables, manifest and derived results are released under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International; the code is released under the MIT licence.
MarineGuard-GNN: A Physics-Informed Multimodal Heterogeneous Graph Neural Network for Submarine Cable Fault Risk Assessment Under Geographic Shift
All code, preprocessing pipelines, and datasets are publicly available.
From Tsunami Exposure to Critical Road Segments: A Reproducible Network Resilience Framework Applied to Lisbon
The framework can be reproduced in other coastal cities where equivalent data are available.
The Towers Were Standing: A Cause Decomposition of Cellular Outages During Hurricane Helene
Independent active-probe measurement corroborates it: responsive /24s fall 1.02% for twelve hours while Tennessee stays flat. We release the dataset.
Non-linear failure patterns in urban road networks exposed to flooding
The framework is transferable to other urban areas where flood maps and road network data are available, supporting risk-informed spatial planning and strengthened civil protection.
Ensemble learning-based seismic vulnerability evaluation of near-fault horseshoe-shaped tunnels
Based on this model, a large-scale dataset is generated through nonlinear dynamic simulations.
Open problems authors admit
A spatiotemporal graph-based robust optimization framework for data-driven disaster recovery scheduling
Key limitations include the reliance on centralized coordination, which may be challenged by communication failures, and the use of synthetic disruption scenarios that may not fully replicate real-time operational complexity.
Mapping the relationship between accessibility and resilience in transportation: A systematic literature review
The study concludes by outlining future research directions toward more holistic, data-driven, and integrated frameworks for resilient transportation planning.
The DYNABIC Use Cases
Finally, the future work for each use case is discussed in terms of how the DYNABIC tools could be improved to cover more threats as well as the technology barriers in the use cases that prevent the DYNABIC tools on observing the CI.
Advancing Urban Seismic Resilience via Complex Networks: Theory, Modeling, Technical Practices and Future Perspectives
This study underscores the systematic role of complex network theory and identifies key directions for future research on the seismic resilience of urban systems.
How do extreme events affect ecosystem services?
We recommend that future research prioritises socio-economic extremes and hybrid modelling approaches to support more resilient ES management under extreme events.
Identifying the Achilles’ Heel: Using Complex Network Analysis to Pinpoint Systemic Vulnerabilities in the Global Food Supply Network
This work adopts a single-year static network framework; future research will extend to multi-year dynamic network tracking and incorporate adaptive supply-chain feedback mechanisms.
The Key in the Back Room: Displacement, Shared Middlemen, and Restoration Time in Critical Infrastructure Cyber Risk
Limitations include reliance on disclosed incidents, unresolved attribution in the anchor case, and criminological evidence that displacement is not inevitable.
Trust but verify: a Verification-as-a-Service framework for sustainable infrastructure governance—An integrative conceptual review
The primary limitations of this study stem from its unvalidated conceptual nature, necessitating future empirical field testing while addressing the data-entry, software infrastructure overhead, urban spatial privacy mandates (e.g., GDPR/CCPA), and worker-surveillance concerns.
A Cyber Risk Quantification and Governance Architecture for Critical Infrastructure: From Posture Measurement to Executive Reporting
The paper illustrates the architecture through three scenarios in energy and water infrastructure and closes with implementation guidance, governance considerations, and an agenda for future research.
Natural Hazards, Critical Infrastructure Systems, and Resilience Enhancement: A Structured State-of-the-Art Review and a Synthesis-Based Rapid Assessment Framework
The article contributes a more transparent evidence-source structure, an evidence-to-decision bridge, and a bounded decision-oriented framework for organizing future research and practical resilience screening.